Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1115.950001 1277.414603 1461.116423 1687.079116 1959.582077 2280.207111 2689.861217
2025-03-09 876.868993 1081.791801 1338.984289 1691.385199 2171.177065 2816.123595 3774.697486
2025-03-16 744.210192 960.146254 1247.849098 1669.873470 2292.223188 3209.228645 4730.849237
2025-03-23 667.077357 892.643094 1208.400418 1699.193462 2475.346242 3718.214103 6007.488458
2025-03-30 586.009105 805.548691 1124.390637 1642.302144 2507.221231 3988.021539 6964.292166
2025-04-06 523.116732 735.561282 1053.886862 1591.006461 2532.128972 4243.762526 7976.614681
2025-04-13 469.677893 673.037710 985.869960 1531.157652 2527.341932 4439.180644 8933.298743
2025-04-20 447.483722 655.523578 985.582152 1583.594171 2732.850483 5090.702799 11194.076176
2025-04-27 421.444421 628.883222 966.669267 1599.306422 2870.041222 5637.554386 13472.364694
2025-05-04 401.333420 609.623495 957.471372 1630.535039 3043.592994 6315.241437 16502.459165
2025-05-11 382.102287 589.842870 944.855445 1652.773802 3202.035200 7006.412434 20034.632927
2025-05-18 371.418131 583.418595 954.894457 1720.605355 3476.158621 8088.432406 25788.834476
2025-05-25 357.231995 570.649527 953.821307 1769.863350 3730.247692 9252.143889 33219.289187
2025-06-01 338.935987 549.162957 934.490081 1778.499504 3890.612705 10223.698714 41089.108416
2025-06-08 318.944725 522.808107 902.877806 1755.032189 3962.274210 10947.353073 48738.273101
2025-06-15 306.784438 509.799454 895.980441 1786.350763 4191.077850 12328.746705 62776.114137
2025-06-22 286.455247 479.913211 852.374405 1725.719831 4145.634851 12685.248916 70551.519825
2025-06-29 268.549224 453.392868 813.356417 1671.093930 4107.134121 13063.919253 79491.794498
2025-07-06 251.326610 427.074487 772.639174 1607.396739 4028.814607 13255.377404 87471.135254
2025-07-13 246.138040 423.681568 779.557935 1663.202614 4339.274557 15322.997498 120862.598610
2025-07-20 237.936648 413.754257 771.594187 1679.930743 4528.976325 16972.342006 157092.989915
2025-07-27 231.584778 407.047470 769.979177 1713.186932 4786.105195 19166.103825 214650.136178
2025-08-03 224.889682 399.171415 765.046245 1736.876392 5018.114072 21430.487283 292733.984172